The recent drilling platform explosion and subsequent major leak
in the Gulf of Mexico is a bad thing, no doubt about that. Stopping the
leak and figuring out what happened are challenges for the engineering
community and many of its disciplines.
As any engineer knows, the
underlying and fundamental cause of a problem, whether large or small,
is often several steps down the chain from the apparent problem, and is
typically not easily found. First impressions are often wrong, or at
best incomplete. True root cause analysis of most problems show the
cause was not a single mistake, but a combination of faults,
misconceptions, circumstances, and other specific causes.
What
aggravates me about the oil spill and similar catastrophes is the large
number of instant experts that appear immediately after the occurrence.
I
cringed as I watched the congressional hearings into the spill. The
lawmakers on both sides lectured with phony fluency and a sanctimonious
tone about deep-sea drilling, underwater concrete, safety and shut off
valves, and similar complex engineering subjects as if they knew what
they were talking about. They may have known the nomenclature, but they
lacked any real understanding of the subject. Remember, congress is full
of lawyers, not engineers!
I just can’t fathom what these people
really know about drilling down on the ocean floor: the incredible
pressure, the corrosive affects of salt water, hydraulics, pumps, pipes,
and underwater remote-control robotics. This is a sophisticated
engineering effort, and should be the subject of engineering peer review
and analysis.
The truth is obvious, these congress members know
pretty much nothing. What’s worse is that they don’t feel that ignorance
should stop them from talking before there is a technical investigation
done by technically qualified people representing various reputable
organizations. We saw this same rush to judgment by the know-nothings
after the Space Shuttle Challenger explosion in 1980.
To me, all
this is just another manifestation of the sad, ironic reality that
engineers have made the incredibly difficult look way too easy. Everyone
thinks engineering’s accomplishments are all no big deal and not very
hard, so it’s easy to be an expert. This is happening in nearly all
engineering and scientific disciplines. The only technical area in which
this hasn’t happened to the same extent in medicine.
Can you
imagine any member of congress asking a doctor at a hearing, “After you
cut through the pericardium layers, why didn’t you insert the stent from
the left side, instead of the right?” The questioner would look like a
fool. But expounding about deep-sea drilling technology; why that is all
OK!
I’d like to know how the medical profession has managed to
maintain this well-deserved, hard earned protective aura around its
expertise. We could use some of that in the rest of the engineering
world.
Now I am not commenting on the required debate about
off-shore drilling, energy independence, and renewable energy sources,
although – again – I wish we could evaluate those things as engineers
and not as politicians. These are policy decisions and the correct realm
of government, but I object to these congressional “fact finding”
sessions that are not about facts at all.
Certainly the general
public has a stake in these discussions, but this rush to judgment and
political posturing is not an effective strategy for either the left or
the right. Most people feel their minds are made up, and they don’t need
the facts. I just wish we would be more sensible and seek out these
facts.
The corporations, the environmentalist, the government,
they are all jumping to conclusions without a true understanding of what
is going on. What can the engineering community do to restore order and
logic to such a chaotic process? Journalist, how can you help? Friends,
countryman, what can you do?
Engineering is hard, and involves
that nasty subject that everyone hates: math. Encourage your local
neighborhood engineer. Tell him or her you love them and appreciate
them. And write a letter to congress telling them to seek out facts, not
photo opportunities and sound bites.
In this age of instant
analysis and 24 hour cable news, it is tempting to take immediate
action. Certainly swift action is called for to both protect the
environment and stop the leak, but long term policy decisions and rule
making regarding oil-drilling in coastal areas should be done against a
background of facts, not just headlines.
Originally written on May 24, 2010.
Sunday, December 9, 2012
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