The world is so complicated. Things are all interconnected.
Unintended consequences lurk at every policy decision. We can’t even agree on
such obvious facts that the earth is warming up. And even those that grudgingly
accept the warming premise are quick to state that it is just a natural cycle
and humankind really has nothing to do with it.
I’ve been an environmentalist all my life. Sure I hug trees.
I love those tall guys. Did you know that they actually produce the air we
breathe? … them and some plankton somewhere in the middle of the ocean. By
stating that I’m an environmentalist, I simply mean that I love nature. Now I
love the city too, but nature has this ability to refresh and re-awaken me. I
don’t get that from the nearest coffee shop, even with Starbuck’s strong brew.
The early morning sun glistening on the white-capped
mountains, the roar of the ocean, and the tweet of the birds. These are things
I feel so deep in my soul it turns me inside-out to just experience the beauty
and solitude that is nature. But we’re really screwing it up … that’s my
opinion.
First is overpopulation and urban sprawl. And that’s just in
the US. Wait until all the Chinese want to fill their three car garages in their suburban homes that they want to build ... just like us! You’ll
be able to cut the air with a knife. That’s what it is like in Beijing right
now. The burning eyes and coughing are just signs that the developing world
wants their piece of the pie.
You can blame a lot of things about modern living:
transportation, industry, or construction. But at the core, the issue is most
often ENERGY. That’s where it all starts. As we look to the sources of energy:
oil, natural gas, coal, nuclear, wood burning, the wind and water, the sun; there are issues
of renewability, greenhouse gas production, air and water pollution, spoiling wildlife habitat, and
economic and regulatory issues, and many more I haven't even thought of yet. Even the scenery is at issue … Baker City,
Oregon, residents objected to windmills that affected the mountain views and
the people in Martha’s Vineyard did not want to see windmills in the ocean.
Which of these issues are most significant to you as an
individual varies, possibly depending on where you live. But I’m a citizen of the west. I was born and raised and
lived my life in the wide-open spaces of the American West. Sure it’s a little
crowded around here in Colorado or California, but it isn’t like the city filled and crowded
Midwest or East Coast.
As with most complex issues, energy and sources of energy is a
balance. Key is the relationship between supply and demand. No one wants their
lights to go out at 8:00 PM or for there to be long lines at the gas pumps, but
we also are suspicious of expansion of any source of energy from windmills to
fracking. We often attempt to influence and adjust energy production with
government policy and laws.
Last year California made headlines by
signing into law an ambitious mandate that requires the state obtain one-third
of its electricity from renewable energy sources like sunlight and wind by
2020. Twenty-nine states and the District of Columbia now have renewable
electricity mandates. The city of Boulder, Colorado, is in the process of taking
responsibility for electric power production away from the local utility. One
key reason for that attempt is to expand the percentage of renewable energy requirement
beyond the already high level set by Colorado law.
President Obama and several members of
Congress have supported one at the federal level. Polls routinely show strong
support among voters for renewable energy projects – as long as they don't cost
too much, or possibly in their own back yards.
But there is a downside … while energy
sources like sunlight and wind are free and naturally replenished, converting
them into large quantities of electricity requires vast amounts of natural
resources – most notably, land. Even a brief look at these costs exposes the
contradictions in the renewable energy movement.
Consider California's new mandate. The
state's peak electricity demand is about 52,000 megawatts. Meeting the
one-third target will require (if you oversimplify a bit) about 17,000
megawatts of renewable energy capacity. Let's assume that California will get
half of that capacity from solar and half from wind. Most of its large-scale
solar electricity production will presumably come from projects like the $2
billion Ivanpah solar plant, which is now under construction in the Mojave
Desert in southern California. When completed, Ivanpah, which aims to provide
370 megawatts of solar generation capacity, will cover 3,600 acres - about five
and a half square miles.
The math is simple. To have 8,500
megawatts of solar capacity, California would need at least 23 projects the
size of Ivanpah, covering about 129 square miles, an area more than five times
as large as Manhattan. While there's plenty of land in the Mojave, projects as
big as Ivanpah raise environmental concerns. The federal Bureau of
Land Management ordered a halt to construction on part of the facility out of
concern for the desert tortoise, which is protected under the Endangered
Species Act.
Wind energy projects require even more
land. The Roscoe wind farm in Texas, which has a capacity of 781.5 megawatts,
covers about 154 square miles. Again, the math is straightforward. To have
8,500 megawatts of wind generation capacity, California would likely need to
set aside an area equivalent to more than 70 Manhattans. Apart from the impact
on the environment itself, few if any people could live on the land because of
the noise (and the infrasound, which is inaudible to most humans but
potentially harmful) produced by the turbines.
Industrial solar and wind projects also
require long swaths of land for power lines. Despite opposition from
environmental groups, San Diego Gas & Electric started construction on the
117-mile Sunrise Powerlink, which will carry electricity from solar, wind and
geothermal projects located in Imperial County, Calif., to customers in and
around San Diego. Soon, environmental groups filed a federal lawsuit to
prevent the $1.9 billion line from cutting through a nearby national forest.
Not all environmentalists ignore
renewable energy's land requirements. The Nature Conservancy has coined the
term "energy sprawl" to describe it. Unfortunately, energy sprawl is
only one of the ways that renewable energy makes heavy demands on natural
resources.
Consider the massive quantities of
steel required for wind projects. The production and transportation of steel
are both expensive and energy-intensive, and installing a single wind turbine
requires about 200 tons of it. Many turbines have capacities of 3 or 4
megawatts, so you can assume that each megawatt of wind capacity requires
roughly 50 tons of steel. By contrast, a typical natural gas turbine can
produce nearly 43 megawatts while weighing only 9 tons. Thus, each megawatt of
capacity requires less than a quarter of a ton of steel.
Obviously these are ballpark calculations,
but however you crunch the numbers, the lesson is the same: the amount of
steel needed to generate a given amount of electricity from a wind turbine is
greater by several orders of magnitude.
Such profligate use of resources is the
antithesis of the environmental ideal. Nearly four decades ago, the economist
E. F. Schumacher distilled the essence of environmental protection down to
three words: "Small is beautiful." In the rush to do something –
anything – to deal with the problem of greenhouse gas emissions,
environmental groups and policy makers have determined that renewable energy is
the answer. But in doing so they've tossed Schumacher's adage into the ditch.
All energy and power systems exact a
toll. If we are to take Schumacher's phrase to heart while also reducing the
rate of growth of greenhouse gas emissions, we must exploit the low-carbon
energy sources – natural gas and, yes, nuclear – that have smaller footprints.
There are several other reasons that I
support these less attractive alternatives and my support is provisional on the
solution to some of the nasty side effects from these power production methods. But, as you can tell from this article, I also have objections to the energy sources considered greener.
As a conversationalist, my real focus is on conservation. There
is so much that can be done reducing our need for energy. Overpopulation, of
course, is a key factor. But even with the existing number of people on this
globe, we could preserve energy with conservation. Things as simple as building
insulation and good windows, as well as complex solutions such as computer
controlled heating and air conditioning must be implemented. It is as simple as turning off lights and
television sets when not in use to complex appliance and device designs that
save power. It will take a consorted effort and a conscious will of the people
to convert our energy wasting society to one willing to conserve and save.
The ultimate solutions must be balanced
on both sides of the scales. All human activity that uses energy and that
generates energy must be considered and the most cost-effective and efficient
methods to generate and use power must be used, while assuring that the impact on the environment is minimized. We need to be aware of the
consequences of all our actions in both generating and using power. We must
redesign both the buildings in our city, and even the designs of our cities in general to be more
energy-cost-effective. Solutions such as public transportation must be
considered with regard to population densities and real need. Let’s not just
build a light rail because it is the “green” thing to do, let’s build a light
rail because that’s the “right” thing to do.
That is the way to the future. There
are choices and trade-offs to be made, and we need to be aware of the impact of
any decision, even one that seems very “green.” To an engineer and a conservationist,
such as myself, I’m inclined toward solutions that preserve our environment …
all aspects of our environment. Windmills and solar are part of the solution. But, they are not the whole solution. Think big! Think deep!! Think how your behavior affects the world around you!!!
I've got more to say ... no surprise there!
ReplyDeleteWhether some are willing to admit it or not, the evidence for global warming is overwhelming. Among other things, before and after pictures of glaciers show melting and satellite photos show a steadily decreasing Northern ice cap. It is also true that the effects are potentially devastating.
But global warming is only one symptom of overpopulation, and overpopulation is the crisis that even environmentalists seem unwilling to discuss. Why is this issue never discussed even in supposedly liberal newspapers like the NY Times?
In addition to global warming, overpopulation is causing the world to run out of nonrenewable resources such as oil. Although this issue seems mitigated by the expanded use of fracking, fracking has additional economic and environmental costs, and all the facts are not yet known.
In addition, other resources are limited, including water and land to grow food. For example, some news sources have blamed rising food prices for the unrest in the Middle East.
It has been reported for years that the capital of Yemen is running out of water. Yet not only in Egypt and Yemen, but also in Libya and Bahrain, population growth per year has exceeded 2% per year, way above the world average. Amidst all of the reporting, it is seldom mentioned that population growth in countries with limited resources makes unrest inevitable.
Even in the US, breadbasket to the world, over 40 million people are now enrolled in the food stamp program. Census figures show that from April 2000 to April 2010, the US population grew by over 27 million people while the number of US jobs actually went down! The simplest explanation is that overpopulation within the US is one of the primary reasons that living standards among the middle class and poor have stagnated.
What good does it do to cut down auto emissions by 10 or 20% when the population grows by the same amount? The real issue is not global warming at all, but population growth. And Democrats, just like Republicans, have their heads in the sand on this issue.